Rising consumer prices, rising unemployment, and a slowing economy are telltale signs of stagflation. This is the ugly scenario that is unfolding before our very eyes. Where a person must work more to get less. And that’s if they don’t lose their job.
The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation indicator, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, recently showed consumer prices increased at an annual rate of 2.5 percent in February. If you exclude food and energy, the PCE price index increased at an annual rate of 2.8 percent.
Of note, the latest PCE price index does not include price hikes from Trump tariffs. Those price hikes are forthcoming. Moreover, the additional costs of Liberation Day tariffs will most definitely compel consumer price inflation higher.
For example, all goods made in China will now be subject to a 54 percent tariff. So, if you shop at Walmart, Target, or any other store that stocks its shelves with goods from China, you will be paying much, much more.
Of course, rising consumer prices always come at the worst possible time. And this time is no exception. Right now, consumers are tapped out. Continue reading